The appointment of Alicia Barcena as Marcelo Ebrard’s alternative within the International Ministry confirms, for my part, the technique led by Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador to remodel the presidential succession right into a staff transition. That’s to say, the continuation of a undertaking, and never a lot a handover from one particular person to a different particular person, as has been the custom in Mexico.
Per week in the past, on this area, I identified that till now Morena’s official candidacy had been assumed as a “winner take all” battle, as they’ve been previously or are in every governorship. However this adjustments considerably with Lopez Obrador’s proposal, already assumed by the occasion, in order that the coordinators of the legislative chambers for the following six-year time period additionally come out of this survey. Amongst others, he imposes the notion that what follows will not be a matter of individuals, however of a political and ideological undertaking; It should not be forgotten that the definition of the coordinators of the legislative energy historically constituted, in follow, an attribution of the incoming president; On this event, nevertheless, these coordinators would have been rivals of that president or president and could be there by design of the motion (that’s, of its founder). By the best way, that may provide a component of competition within the hypothetical case that Morena’s successor within the Nationwide Palace seems to be a fiasco because of incapacity or disloyalty; In such circumstances, from the legislative department, the obradorismo might partially qualify or neutralize the Govt (and never neglect that the potential for the revocation of the mandate in the course of the six-year time period could be in power).
By providing all contenders a related function within the subsequent administration, Lopez Obrador not solely averts the chance of a cut up, but additionally strengthens the political capability of the group that can succeed him. By including “losers” he strengthens the staff of whoever stays in cost. I might not say that it’s a collective accountability, as a result of presidentialism is deeply rooted in our political DNA and has its personal inertia, however it’s a couple of future management based mostly on consensus among the many first circles.
And let’s not neglect that the following administration could be dedicated, no less than politically, to presenting an equal Cupboard of women and men. One thing not at all times simple to attain. The Barcena factor would already pay in that course. The nice and cozy messages tweeted by Claudia Sheinbaum and Marcelo Ebrard when the appointment was made public are revealing.
It could be essential to see if the next adjustments verify this technique. Along with the upcoming appointment of the brand new Secretary of the Inside, within the coming weeks and months a number of officers will depart their tasks to step by step be a part of the pre-campaigns that can take over the elections for 9 governorships. That can open different holes, a few of which might be stuffed by apparent non permanent reduction, however others might result in appointments designed to check future heads of the establishments concerned.
Some will see in all this technique the affirmation that Lopez Obrador doesn’t intend to surrender energy and that the following six-year time period would train it behind the scenes. It appears precisely the alternative to me. Simply because he doesn’t intend to intervene is that he needs to depart the following administration as sturdy as potential. As soon as Lopez Obrador has retired, the one factor that might generate sturdy stress that may lead him to make a proposal or level out could be the collapse of the 4T political undertaking for causes attributable to the weak point or errors of his alternative. To the extent that his successor is accompanied by the most effective cadres that the obradorismo can generate, the higher his prospects might be to benefit from the retirement that he’s searching for to write down his historic and political reflections.
Lopez Obrador is obvious that the 4T undertaking should stroll by itself deserves or it is not going to prevail. His management has been important to get it going, however the motion is not going to achieve success if it’s not trans-exenal and in keeping with its banners over time. And for that he wants a alternative able to sustaining the required legitimacy, reputation and political energy.